المقارنة بين نماذج EGARCH والشبكات العصبية الاصطناعية في قياس أثر المخاطر المنتظمة على المؤشر العام لسوق الأوراق المالية في مصر

Document Type : Original Article

Author

كلية الدراسات العليا للبحوث الاحصائية

Abstract

The main objective of this paper is to make a comparison between an EGARCH models and artificial neural networks approach in measuring the impact of systematic risk on the stock market index in Egypt. The main finding proved that the artificial neural networks more goodness of fit of the monthly returns of stock market index EGX100, than EGARCH models in terms of fit measures; RMSE, MAPE, MAE, thiel inequality, and R2
 

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